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ISSN 2587-814X (print),
ISSN 2587-8158 (online)

Russian version: ISSN 1998-0663 (print),
ISSN 2587-8166 (online)

Andranik Akopov1
  • 1 Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, 47, Nachimovky Prospect, Moscow, 117418, Russia

Modeling and optimization of strategies for making individual decisions in multi-agent socio-economic systems with the use of machine learning

2023. No. 2 Vol 17. P. 7–19 [issue contents]
This article presents a new approach to modeling and optimizing individual decision-making strategies in multi-agent socio-economic systems (MSES). This approach is based on the synthesis of agent-based modeling methods, machine learning and genetic optimization algorithms. A procedure for the synthesis and training of artificial neural networks (ANNs) that simulate the functionality of MSES and provide an approximation of the values ​​of its objective characteristics has been developed. The feature of the two-step procedure is the combined use of particle swarm optimization methods (to determine the optimal values ​​of hyperparameters) and the Adam machine learning algorithm (to compute weight coefficients of the ANN). The use of such ANN-based surrogate models in parallel multi-agent real-coded genetic algorithms (MA-RCGA) makes it possible to raise substantially the time-efficiency of the evolutionary search for optimal solutions. We have conducted numerical experiments that confirm a significant improvement in the performance of MA-RCGA, which periodically uses the ANN-based surrogate-model to approximate the values ​​of the objective and fitness functions. A software framework has been designed that consists of the original (reference) agent-based model of trade interactions, the ANN-based surrogate model and the MA-RCGA genetic algorithm. At the same time, the software libraries FLAME GPU, OpenNN (Open Neural Networks Library), etc., agent-based modeling and machine learning methods are used. The system we developed can be used by responsible managers.

Citation:

Akopov A.S. (2023) Modeling and optimization of strategies for making individual decisions in multi-agent socio-economic systems with the use of machine learning. Business Informatics, vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 7–19. DOI: 10.17323/2587-814X.2023.2.7.19

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